VARIATIONS ON A THEME
Presidential Race Tight in Electoral College
(BUT IT IS CURIOUS TO NOTE THE DISCREPANCIES
IN THE REUTERS POLL FROM THE OTHERS)

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Story Filed: Thursday, November 02, 2000 10:05 AM EST

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The following is Thursday's estimate of the state of the battle to win a majority in the Electoral College between Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Al Gore showing the two in a virtual dead heat.

This unofficial survey will be updated daily until the election on Nov. 7.

Bush has 217 votes solid or leaning toward him.

Gore has 215 votes.

106 votes are too close to call.

There are 538 votes in the Electoral College and 270 are needed to win. States are assigned to Bush or Gore based on the latest polling data from Reuters and other public opinion surveys. If the poll has the two candidates well within the statistical margin of error, that state was assigned to the ''too close to call'' column.

Bush leads in Alabama (9 votes), Alaska (3), Arizona (8), Colorado (8), Georgia (13), Idaho (4), Indiana (12), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (7), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Carolina (14), North Dakota (3), Ohio (21), Oklahoma (8), Oregon (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Texas (32), Utah (5), Virginia (13), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3).

Gore leads in California (54), Connecticut (8), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Florida (25), Hawaii (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), Michigan (18), New Jersey (15), New York (33), Pennsylvania (23), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3).

The following states are too close to call: Arkansas (6), Illinois (22), Iowa (7), Maine (4), Minnesota (10), Missouri (11), Nevada (4), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Tennessee (11), Washington (11), Wisconsin (11).

Changes since Wednesday:

Wisconsin moves from Gore to undecided, based on the Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll showing his lead has narrowed.

Illinois moves from Gore to undecided: the Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll shows his lead at four points.

Pennsylvania moves from undecided to Gore: the Reuters/MSNBC poll shows him ahead by six points.

Michigan moves from undecided to Gore: his lead in the Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll jumped to nine points.


Reuters/MSNBC polling continues to show the battle for an electoral college majority as a virtual dead heat, with Bush controlling 217 votes and Gore controlling 215 votes. With less than a week remaining until election day, 12 states (106 votes) are still too close to call. (Reuters Graphic)



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